Time to Take Another Look at the Wyden-Bennett Healthy Americans Act?
This from today's Kaiser Health News:
"A bipartisan proposal from Sen. Ron Wyden, D-Ore., to replace the tax exclusion for employer-based health benefits with a standard deduction would do more to contain healthcare spending than Senate Finance Chairman Max Baucus' plan to cap the exclusion, according to a recent assessment by the Joint Committee on Taxation,' Congress Daily reports. 'The revelation is lending a boost to Wyden as he attempts to sell Finance members on the key idea of his signature Healthy Americans Act.' The bill, which the CBO has scored the bill as deficit neutral, "has 13 co-sponsors, including Sens. Debbie Stabenow, D-Mich.; Bill Nelson, D-Fla.; and Mike Crapo, R-Idaho, who all sit on the Finance Committee" (Edney and Cohn, 6/18).The Congress is stuck in the mud on health care reform.
The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) continues to demand real health care reform and not the cost containment “lite” stuff they’ve largely been asked to score so far.
The recent letter from CBO Director Doug Elmendorf to Senate Budget Chair Kent Conrad is a very important document. Really, Elmendorf has laid out a detailed roadmap all but saying—“Here’s how I can give you what you are looking for.”
The message to the Congress is clear—stop playing around the edges and get serious about real health care reform:
In the absence of significant changes in policy, rising costs for health care will cause federal spending to grow much faster than the economy, putting the federal budget on an unsustainable path. This letter responds to your request for information about the features of reform proposals that would affect federal spending on health care over the long term.On the cost containment side, Elmendorf’s letter is very specific in suggesting some things that will work—many of them taking the power out of the Congressional hands and putting it into that of a third party to keep the pressure up over time. No more SGR back peddling.
As you noted, many experts believe that a substantial share of spending on health care contributes little if anything to the overall health of the nation. Therefore, changes in government policy have the potential to yield large reductions in both national health expenditures and federal health care spending without harming health. Moreover, many experts agree on some general directions in which the government’s health policies should move—typically involving changes in the information and incentives that doctors and patients have when making decisions about health care.
However, large reductions in spending will not actually be achieved without fundamental changes in the financing and delivery of health care. The government can spur those changes by transforming payment policies in federal health care programs and by significantly limiting the current tax subsidy for health insurance. Those approaches could directly lower federal spending on health care and indirectly lower private spending on it as well. Yet, many of the specific changes that might ultimately prove most important cannot be foreseen today and could be developed only over time through experimentation and learning. Modest versions of such efforts—which would have the desirable effect of allowing policymakers to gauge their impact—would probably yield only modest results in the short term.
Therefore, one broad long-range approach for reform that has drawn interest recently would combine specific policy actions—to generate near-term savings and provide experience that would lay the groundwork for future savings—with a mechanism or framework to impose ongoing pressure for achieving efficiencies in the delivery of health care. The effectiveness of that path would depend ultimately on the willingness of federal policy to maintain significant and systematic pressure over time and would require tough choices to be made. Without meaningful reforms, the substantial costs of many current proposals to expand federal subsidies for health insurance would be much more likely to worsen the long-run budget outlook than to improve it.
Then there are taxes. Readers of this blog know that I have been critical of using old-fashioned tax increases just to raise cash to pay for health care entitlement expansion. Why would we ever want to chase something--health care--that has been growing almost four times faster than the wage rate with taxes?
But that is different from using tax policy to encourage efficiency in the marketplace. From Elmendorf’s letter:
CBO’s Budget Options volume discusses a number of such changes. One option would replace the current tax exclusion with a refundable but more limited tax credit. Another option would limit the amount of health insurance premiums that could be excluded from income and payroll taxes to specific dollar amounts that represented the 75th percentile of premiums paid by or through employers. These approaches would change workers’ incentives about how much insurance to purchase and how much care to demand, and they would increase federal revenues by several hundred billion dollars over 10 years.The Wyden-Bennett Healthy Americans Act is a health care reform proposal that would creatively used the tax system to change the incentives—in this case replacing the tax exclusion with a tax credit as Elmendorf has suggested.
Some have been critical of Wyden-Bennett because the first version would have ended the employer-based system of health insurance, as we know it. But I was pleased to see Senator Wyden amend the bill to enable employers to continue their benefit plans.
Some have suggested that my enthusiasm for Wyden-Bennett is inconsistent with my being so hawkish on cost containment.
For sure, Wyden-Bennett needs to have its cost containment effort expanded. Don’t be surprised to see some movement on that score.
But right now both of the Senate health care committees are stuck in the mud. They have health plans that are pricing way north of what we can afford—the Finance Committee at $1.6 trillion—and they don’t have much more than $300 billion to $400 billion in scoreable savings to offset that cost.
It’s time to take another look at the bipartisan work Wyden-Bennett has accomplished in order to get the process unstuck. Elmendorf seems to be all but begging Senators to take another look at some of the key elements of the bill.
Since the CBO has already scored the Wyden-Bennett Healthy Americans Act as deficit neutral, let me suggest that should come in handy to Senators who can’t seem to make any progress with the CBO.
7 comments:
Your Comments on the Wyden - Bennett bill led me back to the anaysis that the Lewin Group did around the time that the bill was first introduced.
Lewin based its predicted savings on changes in administrative functions p.15 , price competition p.13, and reimbursement effects p.15. The most interesting comment on long term spending growth was on p.25 "...we assume that the primary effect of the strengthened cost savings incentives under the HAA would be to increase enrollment in tightly managed systems of care such as HMOs. We estimate that enrollment in HMOs would increase from about 30% under current law to about 70 percent under the Act."
HMOs are not America's favorite. In fact I can see things other stakeholders will oppose. We still have a long way to go.
Elmendorf's objective: "These approaches would change workers’ incentives about how much insurance to purchase and how much care to demand, and they would increase federal revenues by several hundred billion dollars over 10 years."
So, his ideas would work if our essential health care problem is that we are using too much health care.
Problem is, that's not true, except where doctor's incentives are distorted by profit-making opportunity. Even in that case, does clamping down on medical need across the whole spectrum make sense?
How long must this charade continue before we grapple with the truly essential problem: excessive overhead on the financial side because of an outrageously inefficient multiple-payer system?
I'm new to this blog, and plan to keep coming back. Do you have, or would you consider writing up, a summary of your positions in a Laszewski health plan?
Secondary question -- you are explicitly interested in your friends' (and implicitly clients'?) careers in the insurance industry. Could you explicitly state how your policy recommendations might otherwise be different?
A few years ago, I became a trustee at a major teaching hospital in Massachusetts. New trustee indoctrination consisted of spending a week's worth of mornings in formal training. On one of those mornings, the hospital's CFO spent a couple of hours with us describing the hospital's financial system. I woke up smartly when I heard him talk about the hospital's 23 billing systems. I asked him how and why that could be. He replied that the hospital had 23 billing systems because 23 insurer payers sent it business. At that moment I knew I had gone through the health care Looking Glass. And since then, things have only gotten worse.
>Joel said...
>Problem is, that's not true,
a) I think you may be conflating health INSURANCE with health care. This is a common mistake, but these two things are not the same.
No Joel, it is absolutely true.
If you really mean health INSURANCE, of course it is over consumed...for the simple reasons that a) it is tax preferenced and b) somebody else (like an employer) is often footing the bill.
This isn't surprising and would occur with just about any product so treated.
Give a tax preference for purchasing shoes, and assume that employers paid the majority of shoe expenses, and what do you think would happen to the demand for shoes?
If you meant health CARE, let me give some examples of how it is over-consumed due to the third party payment system.
Let us imagine Smith, who pays his healthcare expenses directly out of pocket and Jones, who has an employer provided insurance plan that has a negligible co-pay of $10 for most services.
Smith and Jones both wake up with a cough and a sniffle. Who is more likely to seek medical treatment? Jones, of course, as the cost to Jones is only $10.
And the majority of such cases are viral or otherwise self-limited and people usually recover without treatment in a few days.
Let us extend the example and suggest that both Smith and Jones have sought medical treatment after waiting 3 days to see if they would recover on their own. Doc Williams explains they have two choices of anti-biotics: Drug A that costs $5 and works 50% of the time and Drug B that costs $90 and works 90% of the time.
Which drug do you think Smith will want? How about Jones?
And let's say that a week later they both still have a cough and are concerned. Doc Williams, who is at all times concerned about his own legal liability, might well suggest a $800 chest CT to rule out malignancy, though he would explain to both Smith and Jones that the chances of finding anything bad are about 1%. Note that Doc Willams won't earn a nickel for the hospital CT scan, but it will protect him from a "failure to diagnose" claim, and since it isn't his money being spent, why not?
Do you think Smith will want the 1% test for $800? How about Jones for $10?
The US healthcare system encounters THOUSANDS of such decisions everyday, most of them quite mundane.
And as long as Jones is spending someone else's money, he will over utilize and explode the costs of the system.
>except where doctor's incentives are distorted by profit-making opportunity.
>outrageously inefficient multiple-payer system?
Are our multi-payer system for shoes and food equally inefficient? Why or why not?
I need to thank Joel for his instructive comments on how consumers "over consume" health care. They act with reasons that a entirely rational given the options they've been provided and the system within which they operate. It is becoming trite to say it, but it's true, that we need to fundamentally re-align provider incentives to reward wellness not procedures. We also need to re-align consumer incentives to bring restraint and common-sense back into a system that often resembles a one price, all you can eat, buffet.
On the topic of excessive overhead in the private system, a 2008, PriceWaterhouseCoopers report that details health insurance premiums is instructive. It shows that 13% of the average health insurance premium goes toward overhead including the 3% that represents insurance company profits. About the same amount (3%)is spent on governemnt compliance and premium taxes. This number, while still too high, is far less than most critics assume for the "bloated" administative costs they attribute to private insurers. This 13% admin expense may also be smaller than the amount of each premium attributable to the cost shifting which now supports government run plans. Common estimates of this cost run from 9% to 21% of premiums.
Finally, regarding the public's aversion to HMOs, it will be interesting to watch the packaging and sale of the medical home concept. HMOs got off to a bad start by being promoted more as a cost saving device than as a way to improve patient care. Medical homes should create cost savings but are being promoted for their patient benefits. They are positioning the Primary Care Physician as counsulor and guide rather than gatekeeper. Smart.
HAA is starting to get more press. I think it's really encouraging. The Wall Street Journal had a sizable interview with Sen. Wyden yesterday. The link is here:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124545885464333145.html
One of the most encouraging words from the article:
"[Mr. Wyden] directs me instead to review Mr. Obama's book, 'The Audacity of Hope.' In it, he says, 'he talkeda bout a system like what we're talking about in the Healthy Americans Act."
I have thought that the Public Option was simply a nuke that Obama is using to facilitate a compromise. In exchange for no Public Option the Republicans would capitulate to a universal healthcare system that is market based.
Post a Comment