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Thursday, July 31, 2008

Will the Lobbyists Make Meaningful Health Care Reform Impossible?

Maggie Mahar joins us today. She responds to a recent post here by Brian Klepper. Brian argued that health care reform will be a very difficult thing to do in the near term. At the top of Brian's concerns is the the impact lobbying money has on the ability of the Congress to achieve real reform.

While Maggie agrees that special interest money is a big factor, she argues there are other reasons to be more optimistic.

Will the Lobbyists Make Meaningful Health Care Reform Impossible?
by Maggie Mahar

In a post originally published on The Health Care Blog and reprinted here, health care analyst Brian Klepper asks: “Is Meaningful Health Care (Or Any Other Kind Of) Reform Possible?”

His answer: “I’d be surprised. Delighted! But surprised.”

Klepper believes that the lobbyists are just too strong. Always incisive, he pulls no punches: “In a policy-making environment that is so clearly and openly influenced by money,” it’s just not likely that “Congress will be able to achieve health care reforms that are in the public interest.”

I disagree. I believe economic pressures are pushing us toward a political turning point. (If you want to understand what is happening in history or in politics, follow the money.) The Bush administration has been thoroughly discredited. Americans are ready for change. Healthcare reform will not happen tomorrow; it will require a bare-knuckled political fight. But it will happen, and this is why: Although lobbyists are powerful, so are voters. And they realize that we are approaching a flashpoint: middle-class Americans are being priced out of our healthcare system.

But let’s begin with the lobbyists. Klepper asks readers to examine a review of lobbyist spending, which appeared in an April 15th report published by OpenSecrets

The numbers are, indeed, daunting. Last year, health care lobbyists spent nearly a half-billion dollars wooing Congress– “an average of about $832,000 for each Senator and Representative.” Though as Klepper points out, “Of course there’s nothing new here. For decades the health care industry has leveraged its money and influence, shaping policy to its own ends.”

And what are the industry’s “ends?” Growth. Like any business, health care businesses want to grow. Their aim: ever-rising sales and profits.

But as former NEJM editor Marcia Angell has pointed out: from society’s point of view, we do not want to see health care spending continue to spiral faster than GDP. Americans cannot keep up with runaway health care inflation. There is an inherent conflict between the lobbyists’ goals and society’s need to make healthcare affordable.

Meanwhile, the players in the health care industry who are bent on growth are always selling—and selling hard. Yet, too often, their products and services provide no health benefit. “There is broad expert consensus that one-third to one-half of all health care expenditure is waste,” says Klepper. “Talk privately with most health care professionals - physicians, hospital execs, health plan administrators, benefits managers, supply chain execs and there is reasonable agreement” on what is needed.

Put simply, we need to squeeze the waste out of the system. “Such changes could drive tremendous savings for individual, corporate and governmental purchasers,” Klepper writes, “but at significant cost to health care firms and professionals. Revenues and profitability would plummet.”

He then turns to the possibility of finding a solution: “What will it take for Congress to mount serious, public interest efforts that focus on serious issues?”

“As far as I can tell, there are two - and only two - solutions here,” says Klepper. “Both are highly improbable.”

One is for “America's largest corporations, the organizations that drive national policy through lobbying now, to galvanize to preserve the common interest. . . . What's needed is a national business coalition that collaboratively focuses on what's good public policy for the country - what's in our common short- and long-term interest. This is tough.”

Tough indeed. Klepper is suggesting that the very corporations that have persuaded Congress to ignore “the common interest in favor of special interests now” get together to advise Congress on the public good.

His second proposal is, as he acknowledges, equally improbable. “It would require a new Congress, under new leadership, to resolve to rid itself of its lobbying cancer, and to do so in a way that is highly visible and publicized. There would be ferocious opposition from industry. Hence the need for visible, articulate leadership from key political and business leaders.”

Once again, Klepper turns to “business leaders” to lobby for “the public good.”

But this is not their job. Nor is it their area of expertise. This is why we have government. By law, a corporation’s first obligation is to make a profit for its shareholders. It is expected to reach for the highest profit possible. Government is assigned the task of overseeing and, when necessary, regulating businesses when they over-reach, to ensure that their efforts do not interfere with our rights as citizens.

Particularly when we are talking about necessities—such as heat, electricity, or healthcare—government is supposed to represent the interests of customers or patients, pushing back when the corporate “me-over-we, money-over-people” philosophy threatens the rest of us.

Corporate America was not always so obsessed with profits. But sometime in the 1980s, CEO’s became hooked on growth, and for more than two decades, their mantra has not changed. Plenty is never enough.

I have written in the past about how, when it comes to health care, more is not always better: excess capacity in the form of too many hospital beds, too many MRI units, and too many specialists. Over two decades of work done by researchers at Dartmouth shows that in regions of the U.S. where patients receive more aggressive, intensive and expensive care, outcomes are not better. Often they are worse.

One cannot expect the lobbyists for a growth industry to be enthusiastic about containing costs. But this does not mean that reform is impossible.

A Turning Point

I agree with Klepper that, for decades, corporate interests have been shaping public policy. During nearly thirty years of conservative rule—interrupted by eight years of initially liberal, but ultimately centrist government—lobbyists have accumulated more and more power.

But American history is a story of pendulum swings. Today, I believe we have come to a turning point, not unlike the inflection point we reached in 1980 when Ronald Reagan was elected president.

One piece of evidence: the vote, earlier this month, on the Medicare bill, which surprised many observers. On this blog, Bob Laszewski called the landslide House vote, which went against the insurance industry, “the most amazing turn of events I have seen in 20 years of following health care policy in Washington, DC.”

When legislators saw powerful lobbyists representing for-profit insurers lined up on one side, and seniors and the AARP on the other side, they knew who to fear: the seniors.

Voters still have tremendous power. And as we head toward Medicare reform --and eventually toward national health reform—legislators are going to have to weigh the power of the vote against the power of the lobbyists’ dollar.

Voters are tired of being gouged by drug-makers, device-makers, and some health care providers. Taxpayers, who pick up more than half of the nation’s health care bill can no longer afford levitating medical expenses.

Moreover, there is no reason why health care costs need to continue to climb year after year, faster than GDP. As I have written here aging boomers are not pushing prices higher. The median age in the U.S. will rise just three years, to 39, over the next quarter century--- and only then will the aging of America begin to accelerate. (Even then, boomers will age just as they were born, over a period of decades.)

There is nothing inevitable about soaring health care prices. We have models in other developed countries where health care inflation is not nearly the problem that it is here. Indeed, even at home, there are regions where Medicare’s costs are not spiraling. And, as noted, outcomes are just as good, often better.

Klepper is right: money is power. But so are votes. Legislators know that no amount of campaign contributions will save then if voters decide that they are putting corporate interests ahead of their healthcare.

Next year, Congress will once again be forced to revisit the question of reining in Medicare spending. Four years ago, Medicare’s hospital trust fund began to spend more than it takes in. In 11 years, it will no longer be able to meet its full obligations. Medicare needs to become more efficient, which means eliminating the waste.

In the vote earlier this month, legislators made it very clear that they do not want to take an ax to the fees that Medicare pays physicians with an across-the board cut. There are easier ways to put Medicare on a firm financial footing. And I predict that Congress will find some of the money Medicare needs by repealing the two most costly elements of the Medicare Modernization Act of 2003 (MMA). .

First, that law agreed to pay for-profit insurers who agreed to offer Medicare Advantage a bonus of 13 percent to 17 percent over what it cost Medicare to offer the same benefits directly. Since then, complaints that Medicare Advantage is not delivering value for Medicare’s dollars have been mounting, and they’re coming both from seniors and from the Government Accounting Office.. I predict that Advantage insurers are about to lose that windfall. (Indeed, just last week, Bob explained that even UnitedHealth realizes that “the days of higher Medicare Advantage payments are limited..”

Secondly the Medicare Modernization Act specifically prohibits Medicare from using its size and leverage to negotiate for discounts on prescription drugs. The Veterans’ Administration—which is allowed to bargain—pays 50 percent less for ten of the twenty drugs that are most popular among Medicare beneficiaries. My guess is that next year, Congress may well decide to let Medicare begin to use its clout.

It’s worth remembering that the MMA was not a popular bill. Indeed, the bill was pushed through Congress, under the cover of darkness, amid charges that one Congressman was offered a bribe to vote for the bill. (This was later confirmed by the House Ethics Committee).

Presidential candidate John McCain did not vote for the bill—which suggests that whoever wins the White House, the MMA is vulnerable.

If my predictions prove true, and Congress stands up to both insurers and drug-makers, this will, I think, set a precedent for meaningful national healthcare reform. The lobbyists do not own our government.

Maggie Mahar publishes her own blog, "Health Beat."

6 comments:

Brian Klepper said...

Maggie,

I admire your optimism. Let's hope, for all our sakes, that you're right and I'm wrong. This is one time I'd be delighted to be proven mistaken.

Two points. First, you object to my proposal that business come together in a coalition that defines and works toward policy in the national interest. The cold truth is that most large businesses already lobby within their own sectors - Microsoft on IT policy, Marriott on hospitality issues, Wal-Mart on retail issues, Pfizer on drug issues - for their own interests.

But with the exception of a couple strong coalitions - the Business RoundTable and the Committee for Economic Development - most organizations don't consider or work toward the policies that ultimately shape the larger economic environment in which they, like us, exist. Weyerhaeuser, a forestry and wood products firm, doesn't spend many lobbying dollars on health care, worried that the health care crisis is going to negatively impact the wood products market, even though it most certainly could, especially if the health care economy becomes unstable.

So the point isn't that special interests aren't in favor of the public interest. They're absolutely interested in it, since a stable economic environment is the most basic requirement for commerce. As a matter of habit, they typically don't lobby on the things that aren't germane to their core business interests.

You say, government "is not their job." Well, apparently, they think it is, and our Congressional representatives are thoroughly OK with them having their say and their way as well. I'm merely suggesting that, since we're governed as it is by business, we encourage them to consider their own larger enlightened self-interest, the points at which the special and the common interests converge

As long as we allow them to lobby at all, it would be MUCH healthier if the vast array of business interests that shape policy came together on issues of national importance. At least then, the majority who are NOT involved in a particular sector could act as a countervailing force to the minority that usually control that sector.

Next, my thesis - that reforms in the public interest are unlikely because Congress is bought off - is based on data (as well as a good deal of personal experience). Yours is based on an inherent belief in the propensity of our system to find balance, and the hope that voters will rise in unison to bring about a more just system.

I'm reminded of the scene in Lawrence of Arabia when the NYTimes reporter asked King Faisal whether Lawrence would be merciful. Faisal responded, "With Colonel Lawrence, mercy is a passion. With me, it is merely good manners. I'll leave it to you to judge which is the more reliable."

Thanks, as always, for the thoughtful response.

Dr. Rick Lippin said...

You are correct Maggie.The time has finally arrived. Even Big Business,who some say own Congress, ALSO wants economic relief from health care costs.(besides of course the medical sector industries)

In short we as a nation just cannot afford to NOT act on health care reform

The lobbyists that your colleague here believes are too powerfull will be looking for jobs in another sector in which to prostitute themselves.

Be Well,

Dr. Rick Lippin
Southampton,Pa
ralipin@aol.com

Dr. Rick Lippin said...

Maggie-

Not so much "Congress will stand up against Big Insurance and Big PhRMA" But rather they will stand up FOR Big Business who wants and needs health care reform, which will bring Big Business necessary economic relief.

Yes we are at a tipping point.

Health care sector lobbyists will be looking to other sectors for jobs in which to prostitute themselves.

Be Well,

Dr.Rick Lippin
Southampton,Pa

maggie mahar said...

Brian--

I agree that it would be much healthier if Big Businesses came together to act in their own enlightened self-interest.

But in the U.S., capitalists just don't think long-term. Wall Street rewards short-term thinking--and punishes enlightened long-term thinking, even when it would benefit the business in question.

This is why the quality of CEOs (not to mention institutional money managers) has declined so much in roughly the past 25 years.
(Here I'm thinking of all of the celebrity CEOs of the 1980s and 1990s. Eisner, Case, Larry Ellison etc. I interviewed many of them. These were not bright men. Bill Gates was the stand-out exception, and he's gotten out of the business world and gone into philanthropy.)

Today, CEOs keep a lower profile, but check out the salaries and options--the corruption is as great as it was in the 1990s.

Everyone in the chain- from a company's CEO to money managers who invest in the company's stock--is rewarded for making money short-term. Very, very few investors are smart enough to stick with a money manager who isn't making money during a bubble.

(So from 1995 to 2000 the very smartest, most honest money managers lost clients--and Jeff Vinick lost his job as manger of Fidelity Majellan) becuase they wouldn't play the game. They knew it was a bubble; they knew it would burst (though no one could predict when) and so they began pulling out of U.S. stocks. Here, I'm think of people like Jean-Marie Eveillard (after the bubble burst, Morningstar would name him international money manager of the year), Jeremy Grantham of GMO, etc.)

So I don't have much hope for big business changing its stripes.

As for my hope that voters will rise in unison . . . .granted, they will need leadership. I'm hoping that may come from Congress, from a new FDA Commissioner, and from whoever is appointed to lead the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid. That could make an enormous difference.

I also am hoping that physicians will help lead the movement for reform, if they begin to organize.(That's why the Century Foundation, where I am a fellow, has put together a working group of very well-known physicians and public health experts to put out a report on Medicare reform. See www.healthbeatblog.org for the annoucement.)

In my experience, physicians under the age of 40--and many over 60--are reform-minded, as are many primary care docs, family physicians, pediatricians.

Finally we have had real, radical reform in the past. Things happened that no one thought could happen. Here, I'm thinking of the civil rights movement. People really didn't believe that civil rights legislation would pass.. The federal government had to impose it on states that didn't want it. But it happened.

The same could be said of Medicare.

And at the very beginning of the Clinton administration, you saw a sea change at the FDA when David Kessler took over. Morale was very, very low, and suddenly this became a very pro-active agency.

Kessler took on Big Tobacco (something that,supposedly, couldn't be done.) He didn't manage to win Congressional approval to let the FDA regulate tobacco--but his campaign did force tobacco company executives to testify before Congress, explaining why tobacco isn't hazardous to our health. The testimony was televised.

And that was basically it for the tobacco industry. That was the turning point.

Nevertheless, that was a rare moment. For most of the past 28 years progressive reformers have been running scared. Many have given up. Many younger people (who came of age in the late 70s, 80s or 90s) have never experienced a time when progressives dug their heels in and won.

Many assume that our government is bought and paid for and that nothing can change that. I wish more younger people studied history and knew more about the 1930s and the 1960s. Many simply believe Reagan's revisionist history of the 1960s as a tale of hippies, drugs and welfare queens.

They don't realize how much was accomplished by the War on Poverty, by the anti-war movement, and by the movement for women's rights. If they understood the anti-war movement and the history of the war in Vietnam, we never would have gone into Iraq.

Nevertheless, there are, I think, enough people around who remember the reform movements of the past and who know that American history is a history of pendulum swings.

Sorry to ramble on at such length, but to have hope, I think you have to look at the history of this country before 1980.

Anonymous said...

The reason we have high health care cost is a result of people having no concern what the doctor or hospital charges as the bills are paid directly by insurance companies or medicare. I own a business, and understanding that insurance is not for maintenance, I implemented an annual $1,000 deductible plan for each employee. It's amazing how they now take an interest in what the doctor & hospital charges. My group health plan expense has increased only 2.5% in the 3 years since implementing this plan. Insurance is not for maintenance, that should be borne by the doctor, hosiptal or patient.

R Allan Jensen said...

Here, here for the previous anonymous. The one variable all of the reformers leave out of all their arguments, ideas, and proposals is the consumer. If you really want to reform the healthcare delivery system, turn it back over to the consumer and let the market operate. No government or government agency can replace the market mechanism in its ability to eliminate waste.

We have very nearly 50 years of government heavily regulating health care delivery and today's resulting over blown system is the result. The more government tries to regulate it, it will act like a balloon being pinched in one spot, and expanding elsewhere.

Government should return to focusing on the truly needy among our population and making those systems (ie Medicaid) actually work correctly, and leave the vast majority of Americans to their consumerist instincts.

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